Championship Odds: Who will drop down to League One in 2023/24?

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Championship Odds: Who will drop down to League One in 2023/24?

Update: 04.04.24

At the top end of the Championship table, Leicester City, Leeds United and Ipswich Town are all fighting it out for automatic promotion but at the opposite end of the division, Rotherham United are already down into League One and several other sides are desperately looking to avoid the same fate.

Rotherham United are eighteen points adrift of safety at the foot of the Championship table with just six games left to play and a vastly worse goal difference than fourth-bottom side Plymouth Argyle, therefore they are now looking ahead to consolidating in League One next season and making yet another promotion push into the second tier. With the Millers down, the big question is – who will be doing them in League One for next season?

All odds correct at time of writing (04.04.24)

Sheffield Wednesday – 3/5

Sheffield Wednesday sit second from bottom in the Championship table with eleven wins from their forty league outings and twenty-three defeats during that time. The Owls sit just two points away from safety but recent results have been far from encouraging, just a single point being collected from their last four games, a run which included a 6-0 mauling by leaders Ipswich Town last month.

Huddersfield Town – 11/10

Huddersfield Town shared the spoils with Stoke City in their last outing on Easter Monday but that was just the Terriers’ second point from five games and they remain very much in the danger zone. The West Yorkshire side currently sit third from bottom in the Championship table with just one point separating them from fourth-bottom side Plymouth Argyle and there’s every chance that they could find themselves plying their trade in the third tier next term.

Update: 14.03.24

The 2023/24 Championship campaign has proven to be as competitive as ever but while the likes of Leicester City, Ipswich Town and Leeds United are looking to haul themselves back into the Premier League, the threat of dropping into the third tier is hanging over the heads of the sides at the bottom end of the division. 

Several sides are struggling to haul themselves away from the Championship relegation zone and with the business end of the campaign fast approaching, time is fast running out for those eager to escape the drop. The big question is, who will find themselves in League One next season?

All odds correct at time of writing (14.03.24)

Rotherham United – 1/2000

Rotherham United are now a full nineteen points adrift at the foot of the Championship table and the perennial yo-yo side look almost certain to be plying their trade in League One next term. The Millers have managed just three wins from their 37 league outings this season and their losing run was extended to nine games last weekend when they lost 5-0 at Norwich City, this coming just a few days after a defeat by the same scoreline at Coventry City. The bookmakers go a best price of just 1/2000 on Rotherham being relegated this season and it’s hard to see just how they could manage a great escape.

Sheffield Wednesday – Evens

Sheffield Wednesday boosted their chances of escaping the drop significantly following four back-to-back wins over Millwall, Bristol City, Rotherham United and Plymouth Argyle since mid February. This run came to an end last Friday when they lost 2-0 at home to title-chasing Leeds United and the Owls still reside in the bottom three in the Championship standings. The South Yorkshire outfit sit just a single point away from safety but they are deemed one of the sides most likely to suffer the drop at a best price of Evens.

Huddersfield Town – 7/4

Huddersfield Town have replaced QPR as third favourite in the Championship relegation market, the West Yorkshire outfit currently sitting  one point away from 21st-placed Birmingham City and 20th-placed QPR. The Terriers lost just once whilst on league duty in January while they won three of their five Championship outings the following month, however they have taken just one point from their last three and are priced at 7/4 for the drop at the end of the season.

Update: 14.02.24

Several sides continue to struggle in the lower reaches of the Championship table and time is fast running out for the likes of Rotherham United and Sheffield Wednesday.

Rotherham United – 1/100

It will be no huge shock for Rotherham United fans to see their side propping up the rest of the Championship. Their side has been here before, many times in the past few seasons. Indeed, should the Millers find themselves back in League One next season, there’s every reason to believe that they bounce straight back to the second tier at the first attempt. The South Yorkshire side have looked too good for League One but not quite good enough for the Championship over the past few seasons and they are looking nailed-on as far as the drop is concerned in 2023/24.

Sheffield Wednesday – 1/2

Sheffield Wednesday battled hard to make it into the Championship at the end of last season, the Owls managing to overhaul a four goal deficit in the two-legged League One play-off final against Peterborough United. Nevertheless, it’s safe to say that they have found the going tough in the second tier and as things stand they sit second from bottom in the Championship table, some bookies going as low as 1/3 that they return to League One at the first time of asking (best price 1/2).

Queens Park Rangers  –  6/5

Queens Park Rangers managed a much-needed point when drawing 2-2 with Norwich City at Loftus Road last time out but in all honesty this did little to improve their standing in the Championship table. The West London side still sit in the bottom three with two points separating them from 21st-placed Huddersfield Town and the omens aren’t too good with regard to their battle against the drop.

Update: 07.02.24

We take a look at the main contenders for relegation at the end of 2023/24 with several sides looking nervously over their shoulders.

The likes of Rotherham United, Sheffield Wednesday and QPR are starting to face up to the possibility that League One football might be coming their way next season.

Rotherham United – 1/40

Rotherham United have for many years been something of a yo-yo side between the Championship and League One, therefore it’s no huge surprise to see them on the verge of dropping back down to the third tier. The Millers have been in the lower echelons of the Championship table for much of the season and as things stand they sit some twelve points away from safety at the foot of the table. It’s hard to envisage them turning things around given that they have won just three of their 29 league games and the bookies go just 1/40 that they find themselves in the third tier for 2024/24.

Sheffield Wednesday – 4/9

As with near neighbours Rotherham, Sheffield Wednesday have also been resident in the lower reaches of the Championship table for the majority of the season and they too look destined for a swift return to League One after winning promotion from that division via the play-offs at the end of last term. The Owls are second from bottom in the league table with more defeats (19) than any other side in the division and the bookies go 4/9 that their stay in the Championship is limited to just a single season.

Queens Park Rangers  –  6/5

Despite picking up a decent seven points from their last three Championship outings, Queens Park Rangers remain very much in the danger zone, the West London outfit sitting third from bottom in the league table. Nevertheless, their three-game unbeaten run has lifted them to within three points of safety and there’s every chance that they will escape the drop if this upturn in fortunes continues. That said, there’s some tricky games on the horizon and the bookies go a little over Evens that QPR drop into the third tier on the back of what thus far has been a disappointing campaign.

Update: 11.01.24

This season’s Championship campaign is proving to be hugely competitive once again with Leicester City looking well-placed to make a return to the Premier League and several sides in with a decent chance of joining them in the automatic promotion places, however we look to the lower end of the table and the sides struggling to get themselves out of the relegation zone.

We’re now firmly into the second half of the 2023/24 Championship campaign and the going has been tough for several sides towards the bottom end of the division. As we edge ever closer to the business end of the season, we take a look at the sides deemed most likely to drop down into League One.

Rotherham United – 1/14

After 26 rounds of league games, Rotherham United sit three points adrift at the foot of the Championship table. The Millers have been very much a yo-yo club between the second and third tiers for many seasons and as things stand they find themselves seven points away from safety. The South Yorkshire outfit have managed just three wins whilst on league duty this term and the bookmakers make them massive favourites for the drop down to League One at a best price of just 1/14.

Huddersfield Town – 9/10

Having managed just two wins from their last fourteen Championship games, it’s no huge surprise to see Huddersfield Town priced as one of the favourites for the drop this season at best odds of 9/10. The Terriers have endured a thoroughly miserable campaign thus far with just five wins from their 25 league games although as things stand they sit one position and three points above the relegation zone.

Queens Park Rangers  –  5/4

Since his appointment as QPR manager in October, Marti Cifuentes has been unable to turn around the fortunes of his side. The West London outfit did manage a mini-run of three back-to-back league wins in late November and early December but they remain in the relegation zone with only Rotherham United sitting below them in the Championship table. The Loftus Road outfit have managed a total of just five wins from their 26 league games thus far and the omens don’t look good for Cifuentes’ charges, the bookmakers going 5/4 that they fins themselves plying their trade in the third tier for 2024/25.

Update: 21.07.23

We’re now just a few days away from the start of the 2023/24 Championship campaign with clubs preparing for what promises to be a very tough season. The newly-promoted sides will all be harbouring ambitions of avoiding relegation back to League One at the very least, however the likelihood is at least one of them will find the going tough in the second tier.

The 2023/24 season is almost upon us with clubs hurriedly finalising their summer transfer dealings. The newly promoted Championship sides have been strengthening their squads for what will be a tough campaign, however it remains to be seen whether they can keep their heads above water in this higher division.

Rotherham United – 13/8

Rotherham United have become known as a yo-yo club in recent seasons, the South Yorkshire outfit gleefully flitting between the second and third tiers with reckless abandon with relegation coming in the 2016/17, 2018/19 and 2020/21 seasons. The Millers won promotion in each of the subsequent campaigns and avoided the drop at the end of 2022/23, albeit now by a very large margin. Having finished in 19th position last term, Rotherham are expected to find the going tough once again and they are priced at best odds of 15/8 to drop back to League One.

Rotherham get their Championship campaign underway on Saturday afternoon when they travel to Stoke City, the Millers outsiders at 9/2 to get their season off to a winning start.

Plymouth Argyle – 15/8

Plymouth Argyle were the dominant force in League One throughout the 2022/23 campaign and they managed to hold onto top spot and claim the title at the end of the season. Their main aim will be to hang onto their Championship status for more than just one season but most pundits envisage a season of struggle for the Pilgrims. The leading UK bookmakers go a best price of 15/8 on the Devon side slipping straight back down to League One at the end of the campaign and it’s likely that they will be found towards the foot of the table for much of the season.

Plymouth get things underway this weekend when they entertain Huddersfield Town in their opening Championship match of the new season.

Huddersfield Town – 3/1

In the early stages of the 2022/23 campaign, Huddersfield Town looked to be set for a relegation straight down to League One although they managed to find their feet and ultimately finished in 18th position, nine points separating them from the drop zone. Having finished the campaign with victory in each of their last three outings, the Terriers will be hopeful of starting the new season in a similar fashion, however the general consensus is that 2023/24 will be another season of struggle for the West Yorkshire side.

Huddersfield Town launch their 2023/24 Championship campaign with a meeting with newly-promoted Plymouth Argyle on Saturday afternoon, the Terriers priced at 23/10 to get things off to the best possible start by collecting all three points.

Queens Park Rangers – 3/1

Queens Park Rangers finished two positions and six points clear of the bottom three at the end of the 2022/23 Championship campaign and they will be determined to put in a better showing in the upcoming campaign. Many believe that the West London side can battle for a play-off berth in 2023/24 although they are one of the favourites for the drop this term at a general 3/1.

QPR get their campaign underway on Saturday afternoon when they travel to Watford’s Vicarage Road, the West Londoners a 29/10 shot to collect all three points on their travels.

Birmingham City – 10/3

Birmingham City were very much a mixed bag throughout the 2022/23 season with 21 defeats from their 46 league games. They ultimately finished nine points clear of the relegation zone and live to fight another day in the second tier, however most pundits believe that they will once again struggle to keep their heads above water in what promises to be an extremely competitive 2023/24 season.

Birmingham City start their season with a potentially tough trip to Swansea City on Saturday afternoon, the Blues a best price of 19/5 to secure a maximum points haul in South Wales.

07.07.23

The 2022/23 season only drew to a close a few weeks ago but thoughts are already turning towards who will drop down from the Championship to League One at the end of the new campaign which begins next month. Will newly-promoted Plymouth Argyle return back to the third tier at the first time of asking or will yo-yo side Rotherham United take the plunge?

Plymouth Argyle – 6/4

Plymouth Argyle silenced their many critics by taking the League One title at the end of the 2022/23 season and the Pilgrims will be desperate to hang onto their second tier status for more than a single season. Nevertheless, the general consensus is that the Devon outfit will struggle in the Championship and they are being seen as the side most likely to drop down to League One at the end of the season. Most bookmakers go just 6/4 that the Pilgrims return to the third tier, despite the fact that they sat at the summit of the League One for most of the campaign.

Rotherham United – 15/8

In recent seasons, Rotherham United have been very much a yo-yo side between the second and third tiers although the Millers managed to avoid the drop at the end of 2022/23. The South Yorkshire side suffered relegation from the Championship in 2016/17, 2018/19 and 2020/21 but got themselves promoted in each of the following seasons. They finished the 2022/23 season in 19th position and most pundits expect them to be amongst the relegation battlers at the end of next term.

Huddersfield Town – 7/2

Following a shaky start to the season, Huddersfield Town did enough to haul themselves away from the drop zone last season and they finished in 18th position at the end of the campaign with nine points separating them from the bottom three. They finished 2022/23 in excellent fashion with wins in each of their last three games, however they are currently third in the betting to be relegated at the close of next season.

Birmingham City – 7/2

Birmingham City finished the 2022/23 campaign in a reasonably respectable 17th position with nine points separating them from the relegation zone. The Blues lost almost half of their league outings with 21 defeats throughout the campaign and they are deemed to be one of the sides most likely to be embroiled in a relegation battle next term.

Sheffield Wednesday – 4/1

Sheffield Wednesday edged past local rivals Barnsley in the League One play-off final last season and as a result booked their place in next season’s Championship campaign. Nevertheless they are now searching for a new manager following the surprise departure of Darren Moore last month and as the new campaign fast approaches, the bookies go just 4/1 that the Owls drop straight back down to the third tier at the first time of asking.